Table of Contents
Preface ix
Part 1 The Mindset 1
Chapter 1 Smarter Than the Average Fan 3
Chapter 2 NFL Infrastructure 13
Chapter 3 Understanding Statistics and Rankings 21
Chapter 4 Understanding the NFL Landscape 25
Chapter 5 Challenging the General Football Media 35
Chapter 6 Challenging the Football Handicapping Media 47
Chapter 7 Challenging the Oddsmakers and Bookmakers 55
Part 2 The Practical 65
Chapter 8 Change is Constant 67
Chapter 9 Understanding Schedules 77
Chapter 10 Identifying Team Styles, Strengths, and Weaknesses 87
Chapter 11 Sniffing for Blowouts 95
Chapter 12 Predicting Turnovers 103
Chapter 13 Positioning for Upsets 113
Chapter 14 The Great Value Debate 121
Part 3 The Tactical 125
Chapter 15 Let the Games Come to You 127
Chapter 16 The Coaching Network 135
Chapter 17 Totals: The Universe is Out of Alignment! 143
Chapter 18 Weather and Surface 153
Chapter 19 Money Management 161
Chapter 20 College Football and the Future 169
Acknowledgments 179
About the Author 181