Table of Contents
Foreword vii
About the Author ix
List of Figures xv
Part 1 Setting the Debate Right 1
Chapter 1 What Truly Drives Energy Transitions Is Not What We May Think 3
What Is Energy? 4
A Brief History of Energy Transitions 6
Long, Complex and Entangled, Demand-Driven Transitions 12
The Upcoming Energy Transition Will Not Be as Experts Currently Frame It 15
References 18
Chapter 2 The Current So-Called Energy Transition Has Not Yet Started 19
The Initial Kick 19
Not-So-New Energy Sources 21
Digital Everywhere - Even Where We Do Not Expect It 36
Working at an Atomic Scale 41
Nothing Has Happened Yet 43
References 47
Chapter 3 The Upcoming Energy Transition Will Be a Byproduct of Greater Changes at Stake 51
An Inefficient Economy 53
A Fragile Society 57
Sinking the Spaceship 63
How to Take It Forward? 68
References 73
Part 2 The "North Star" 77
Chapter 4 There Is a Stunning Potential to Do the Same Things…Much Better 79
Ultra-Efficient Buildings 82
Ultra-Efficient Industries 88
Ultra-Efficient Mobility 95
Ultra-Efficient Infrastructure 101
The Next Stage of Economic Development Will Be Human-Centricity 106
References 113
Chapter 5 Are We Too Big to Fail, or Is It the Opposite? 119
Resilient Resources 123
Resilient Trade 132
Resilient Society 137
The Next Stage of Our Social Construct Will Be Decentralization 144
References 151
Chapter 6 When We Reconcile with Our Original Beliefs 157
Three Revolutions Must Take Place 158
Agriculture Revolution 169
Industrial Revolution 171
Energy Revolution 174
The Central Role of Water 180
The Next Stage of Our Civilization Will Be About Reconnecting with Nature 182
References 189
Chapter 7 The Future Will Be Very Different from the Way We Currently Conceive It 193
The World in 30 Years 193
The Age of Fire Is Over 204
References 220
Part 3 Riding the Inevitable 223
Chapter 8 Let's Not Be Disappointed: It Will Mostly Look Like an Imperfect Patchwork of Changes 225
Different Innovations, Different Adoptions 225
Enabling Adoption: A Deeper Look 228
Five Key, Entangled Challenges, and What to Take Away from Them 239
References 250
Chapter 9 What Will Matter Now Is to Roll Up Our Sleeves 253
Accelerating Adoption: What It Will Take to Change 253
Putting a Timeline to Change 257
Priming the Pump of Change 263
References 267
Conclusion It's Only the Beginning…Good News! 269
References 276
Index 277