Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

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Overview

Since at least the early 1950s, the entire Asia-Pacific region has struggled with the complicated and complex relationship between China and Taiwan--today the Taiwan question is considered a potential flashpoint for a much larger international conflict. Bringing together experts from the United States and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People's Liberation Army, and China's security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific. There is increasing concern that Beijing is steadily shifting the balance of power across the Taiwan Strait in its favor. Recent advances in Chinese air and naval power, along with changes in PLA doctrine, have the potential to weaken deterrence and destabilize the cross-strait military balance. At this critical juncture, there is not question that this issue requires sustained, detailed analysis and that many measures can and should be taken to reduce the threat of conflict between China, Taiwan, and the United States. Assessing the threat offers such analysis as well as concrete suggestions and crisis management practices for government and military leaders in Washington, D.C., Beijing, and Taipei.


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780870032387
Publisher: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Publication date: 03/09/2022
Series: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Pages: 413
Product dimensions: 5.99(w) x 8.95(h) x 1.09(d)

About the Author

Michael D. Swaine is a senior associate in the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's China Program. He has produced several seminal studies, which have expanded American and Chinese governmental officials' understanding of the Chinese mi

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments     vii
Acronyms     ix
Preface     xv
Introduction and Regional Context
Introduction   Michael D. Swaine   Oriana Skylar Mastro     3
China's Asia Policy: Strategy and Tactics   Alex Liebman     25
People's Liberation Army (PLA) Doctrine and Capabilities
The PLA and Joint Operations: Moving from Theory Toward Practice   Dean Cheng     55
Evolving Chinese Concepts of War Control and Escalation Management   Lonnie D. Henley     85
PLA Power Projection: Current Realities and Emerging Trends   Roy D. Kamphausen   Justin Liang     111
Threats, Deterrence, and Escalation Control in a Taiwan Contingency
Air Force Deterrence and Escalation Calculations for a Taiwan Strait Conflict: China, Taiwan, and the United States   Kenneth W. Allen     153
The Military Instrument of Statecraft at Sea: Naval Options in an Escalatory Scenario Involving Taiwan: 2007-2016   Bernard D. Cole     185
The Nuclear Dimension: How Likely? How Stable?   Brad Roberts     213
PRC Information Operations: Myths, Trends, and New Opportunities   James Mulvenon     243
Taiwan's Defense Preparation Against the Chinese Military Threat   Andrew N. D. Yang     265
TheImplications of Chinese Military Modernization for U.S. Force Posture in a Taiwan Conflict   Roger Cliff     285
Conclusions
Future East Asian Security Architecture: Implications for the PLA   Alan D. Romberg     311
Assessing the Threat   Michael D. Swaine   Oriana Skylar Mastro     337
Bibliography     367
Index     387
Contributors     409
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace     415
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