Independent Belarus: Domestic Determinants, Regional Dynamics, and Implications for the West

Independent Belarus: Domestic Determinants, Regional Dynamics, and Implications for the West

Independent Belarus: Domestic Determinants, Regional Dynamics, and Implications for the West

Independent Belarus: Domestic Determinants, Regional Dynamics, and Implications for the West

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Overview

The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 ushered in a period of democratization and market reform extending across the East-Central European region, with one important exception: Belarus. Ironically, Belarus's fledgling attempts at democracy produced a leader who has suspended the post-Soviet constitution and its institutions and created a personal dictatorship. Located in the center of the European continent, Belarus lies at the crossroads of an expanded NATO and the Russian "near abroad." This fact underlines the importance of Belarus to European security and to East-West relations.

To discuss developments in Belarus, an international group of scholars and policymakers gathered at Harvard University in 1999. The broad spectrum of issues covered is examined in this volume, providing an understanding of Belarus today and its prospects for the future.

In addition to the editors, contributors include Timothy Colton, David Marples, Uladzimir Padhol, Rainer Lindner, Patricia Brukoff, Leonid Zlotnikov, Arkadii Moshes, Andrei Sannikov, Yuri Drakokhrust, Dmitri Furman, John Reppert, Astrid Sahm, Kirsten Westphal, Hrihoriy Perepelytsia, Algirdas Gricius, Agnieszka Magzdiak-Miszewska, Hans-Georg Wieck, Sherman Garnett, Elaine Conkievich, and Caryn Wilde.


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780916458942
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Publication date: 04/30/2003
Series: Harvard Slavic Studies Series
Pages: 512
Product dimensions: (w) x (h) x 1.50(d)

About the Author

Margarita M. Balmaceda is Assistant Professor at Seton Hall University.

James I. Clem is Executive Officer at the Harvard Academy for International and Area Studies.

Lisbeth Tarlow is Associate Director, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, Harvard University.

Timothy J. Colton is Morris and Anna Feldberg Professor of Government and Russian Studies, and Director of the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, at Harvard University.

Elaine M. Conkievich is Deputy Head, Organization of Security and Cooperation in Europe, Yerevan, Armenia.

Yuri Drakokhrust is an editor at the Belarusian Service of Radio Liberty, Prague, Czech Republic.

Dmitri Furman is Director of the Commonwealth of Independent States Research Center, Russian Academy of Sciences' Institute of Europe.

Algirdas Gricius is an Associate Professor of Political Science at the Institute of International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius University.

Rainer Lindner is a Researcher and Lecturer at the Department of History and Sociology, University of Konstanz, Germany.

David R. Marples is Professor of History at the University of Alberta.

Arkadii Moshes is Head of Section and Researcher at the European Security and Arms Control Section, European Policy Department, Institute of Europe.

Uladzimir Padhol is Professor of Philosophy at the Belarusian People's University, Minsk.

Hrihoriy Perepelytsia is Head of the Military Department of the National Institute for Strategic Studies, Ukraine, and Associate Professor at the Institute of International Relations, Taras Shevchenko National University, Kyiv.

John C. Reppert is Executive Director for Research, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.

Astrid Sahm is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Social Science, Mannheim University.

Andrei Sannikov is a Member of both the Coordinating Council of Democratic Forces of Belarus and of the National Executive Council.

Kirsten Westphal is a Fellow at the Institute of Politics, Justus Liebig University, Giessen, Germany.

Hans-Georg Wieck is the Former Head of the OSCE Advisory and Monitoring Group in Belarus

Caryn Wilde is a Consultant and International Development Specialist currently advising USAID/Russia.

Leonid Zlotnikov is an Economic Consultant at the International Finance Corporation, Minsk.

Table of Contents

  • Acknowledgments
  • Technical Note
  • List of Contributors
  • Abbreviations
  • Map of Belarus
  • Introduction. Margarita M. Balmaceda, James I. Ciem, Lisbeth L. Tarlow


    Domestic Politics
  1. Belarusian Public Opinion and the Union with Russia Timothy J. Colton
  2. The Opposition in Belarus: History, Potential and Perspectives David R. Marples and Uladzimir Padhol
  3. The Lukashenka Phenomenon Rainer Lindner

  4. The Belarusian Economy
  5. The Belarusian Economy: Is It Sustainable? Patricia Brukoff
  6. Possibilities for the Development of a Private Economic Sector and a Middle Class as a Source of Political Change in Belarus Leonid Zlotnikov
  7. Belarus as a Transit Route: Domestic and Foreign Policy Implications Margarita M. Balmaceda

  8. Russia and Belarus: Mutual Percrptions and Influences
  9. Lukashenka's Role in Russian Politics Arkady Moshes
  10. Russia's Varied Roles in Belarus Andrei Sannikov
  11. Belarus and Russia: The Game of Virtual Integration Yuri Drakokhrust and Dmitri Furman

  12. Belarus and European Society
  13. The Security Dimension in the Future of Belarus John C. Reppert
  14. Power and the Yamal Pipeline Astrid Sahmn and Kirsten Westphal
  15. The Belarus Factor in the European Policy of Ukraine Hrihoriy Perepelytsia
  16. Lithuania and Belarus: Different Paths on the Way Back to the Future Algirdas Gricius
  17. Belarus: Poland's Strange Neighbor Agnieszka Magdziak–Miszewska

  18. The Belarusian Challenge for the West: Strategies for Engagement
  19. The Role of International Organizations in Belarus Hans-Georg Wieck
  20. The Belarusian Policy Dilemma Sherman Garnett
  21. The NGO Approach: Possibilities for Positive Engagement in Belarus Elaine M. Conkievich
  22. The Challenge of Using NGOs as a Strategy for Engagement Caryn Wilde

  • Appendix. Charter '97 (in Belarusian and English)
  • Index

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