Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems: Exact Computational Methods for Bayesian Networks / Edition 1

by Robert G. Cowell, Philip Dawid, Steffen L. Lauritzen, David J. Spiegelhalter

Overview

WINNER OF THE 2001 DEGROOT PRIZE!

Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks that support the modelling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors over a number of years, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms, emphasizing those cases in which exact answers are obtainable. It covers both the updating of probabilistic uncertainty in the light of new evidence, and statistical inference, about unknown probabilities or unknown model structure, in the light of new data. The careful attention to detail will make this work an important reference source for all those involved in the theory and applications of probabilistic expert systems.

This book was awarded the first DeGroot Prize by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis for a book making an important, timely, thorough, and notably original contribution to the statistics literature.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9780387718231
Publisher:	Springer New York
Publication date:	07/16/2007
Series:	Information Science and Statistics
Edition description:	1999
Pages:	324
Product dimensions:	6.10(w) x 9.20(h) x 0.70(d)

Table of Contents

Logic, Uncertainty, and Probability.- Building and Using Probabilistic Networks.- Graph Theory.- Markov Properties on Graphs.- Discrete Networks.- Gaussian and Mixed Discrete-Gaussian Networks.- Discrete Multistage Decision Networks.- Learning About Probabilities.- Checking Models Against Data.- Structural Learning.

Editorial Reviews

From the reviews:

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION

"This important book fills a void in the graphical Markov models literature. The authors have summarized their extensive and influential work in this area and provided a valuable resource both for educators and for practitioners."

From the Publisher