Stock Trader's Almanac 2016 / Edition 12

by Jeffrey A. Hirsch

Overview

The most trusted name in historical data, updated for 2016

Stock Trader's Almanac 2016 is the latest update to the indispensible trader's and investor's resource. Trusted by Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and other well-regarded media outlets, this compendium of historical stock market data provides critical information you can't get anywhere else. New information includes the latest patterns, seasonalities, trends, and cycles, based on some of the most trusted data in the industry. You get access to the Hirsch Organization's Best Six Months Switching Strategy, the renowned January Barometer, and Presidential Election Year Cycles and Perspectives, for a wealth of historical patterns widely followed by savvy investors. Organized in a calendar format, this guide provides monthly and daily reminders, plus invaluable alerts to risks and opportunities throughout the year to help you reach your full investment potential.

For fifty years, thousands of market professionals have turned to the Stock Trader's Almanac for the data they need to get an edge on the market. Whether you rely on fundamental analysis, technical analysis, or a mix of the two, historical data is vital—and it doesn't get any better than the sterling data found in this guide.

• Get the latest trends, patterns, cycles, and more
• Forecast trends with accuracy and confidence
• Work from the cleanest data in the business
• Discover seasonal opportunities and dangers

Historical patterns have a tendency to repeat, as proven over and over again. Having a cache of historical data at your fingertips is like having a window to the future of the market—you would be crazy not to use it to your advantage. Stock Trader's Almanac 2016 is your data cache, with expert strategy and insight for better trading decisions.

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781119110682
Publisher:	Wiley
Publication date:	10/19/2015
Series:	Almanac Investor Series
Pages:	192
Product dimensions:	6.40(w) x 8.90(h) x 0.60(d)

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Table of Contents

10 2016 Strategy Calendar

12 January Almanac

14 January’s First Five Days: An Early Warning System

16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Eight Significant Errors in 65 Years

18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950

20 2016 Presidential Election Year Perspectives

22 February Almanac

24 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years

26 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power

28 Incumbent Party Wins & Losses

30 March Almanac

32 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years

34 Leverage the Probabilities Fund (PROTX)

Strategic and Tactical Trading System

38 April Almanac

40 Eighth Year of Presidential Terms

42 The Sixth Year of Decades

44 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool

46 May Almanac

48 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record

50 Top Performing Months Past 65¼3 Years:

Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials

52 “Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy

54 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results

56 June Almanac

58 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 43¼3 Years

60 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD Timing

62 Triple Returns, Less Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle

64 July Almanac

66 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish

68 2014 Daily Dow Point Changes

70 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday

72 A Rally for All Seasons

74 August Almanac

76 Best Investment Book of the Year: Fast Forward: The Technologies and Companies Shaping Our Future

78 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After

80 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning

82 September Almanac

84 A Correction for All Seasons

86 First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days

88 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays

90 October Almanac

92 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined

94 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays

96 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar

100 November Almanac

102 Fourth Quarter Market Magic

104 Trading the Thanksgiving Market

106 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in Last Half of December

108 December Almanac

110 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December

112 Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served before Christmas

114 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall

116 Year’s Top Investment Books

118 2017 Strategy Calendar

DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS and DATABANK

121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2016

122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2016

123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2016

124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2016

125 NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2016

126 Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2016

127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2016

128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2016

129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon

130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 182-Year Saga Continues

131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900

132 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929

NASDAQ Composite Since 1971

133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February

134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April

135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June

136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August

137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October

138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December

139 A Typical Day in the Market

140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis

141 Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week

142 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week

143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952

144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971

145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks

146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks

147 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span

148 November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run

149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901

150 S&P 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930

151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971

152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950

154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

155 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

156 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

157 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971

158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971

159 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

160 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

161 10 Best Days by Percent and Point

162 10 Worst Days by Percent and Point

163 10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point

164 10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point

165 10 Best Months by Percent and Point

166 10 Worst Months by Percent and Point

167 10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point

168 10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point

169 10 Best Years by Percent and Point

170 10 Worst Years by Percent and Point

171 Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901

172 S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930

173 NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971

STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION

175 Portfolio at Start of 2016

176 Additional Purchases

178 Short-Term Transactions

180 Long-Term Transactions

182 Interest/Dividends Received during 2016/Brokerage Account Data 2016

183 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2016

185 Weekly Indicator Data 2016

187 Monthly Indicator Data 2016

188 Portfolio at End of 2016

189 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations

190 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised

191 G.M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival

192 G.M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist