X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything
A necessary and thought-provoking read for the age of coronavirus, exploring eleven scenarios that may trigger the collapse of the modern world — from pandemics to nuclear apocalypse to robot uprisings — and what we can do to prevent and survive them. 

In the twenty first century, our world has become impossibly complicated, relying on ever more advanced technology that is developing at an exponential rate. Yet it is a fact of mathematical life that higher and higher levels of complexity lead to systems that are increasingly fragile and susceptible to sudden, spectacular collapse.

In this highly provocative and grippingly readable book, John Casti brilliantly argues that today’s advanced, overly complex societies have grown highly vulnerable to extreme events that will ultimately topple civilization like a house of cards. Like Nassim Taleb’s The Black Swan meets Jared Diamond’s Collapse, Casti’s book provides a much-needed wake-up call, sounding a fascinating and frightening warning about civilized society’s inability to recover from a global catastrophe.

An eye-opening and necessary read, X-Events is a shocking look at a world teetering on the brink of collapse, and a population under constant threat from pandemic viruses, worldwide communication breakdowns, nuclear winter, or any number of unforeseeable “X-Events.” Fascinating and chilling, X-Events provides a provocative tour of the catastrophic outlier scenarios that could quickly send us crashing back to the preindustrial age – and shows that they may not be as far-fetched as they seem. 

1114060199
X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything
A necessary and thought-provoking read for the age of coronavirus, exploring eleven scenarios that may trigger the collapse of the modern world — from pandemics to nuclear apocalypse to robot uprisings — and what we can do to prevent and survive them. 

In the twenty first century, our world has become impossibly complicated, relying on ever more advanced technology that is developing at an exponential rate. Yet it is a fact of mathematical life that higher and higher levels of complexity lead to systems that are increasingly fragile and susceptible to sudden, spectacular collapse.

In this highly provocative and grippingly readable book, John Casti brilliantly argues that today’s advanced, overly complex societies have grown highly vulnerable to extreme events that will ultimately topple civilization like a house of cards. Like Nassim Taleb’s The Black Swan meets Jared Diamond’s Collapse, Casti’s book provides a much-needed wake-up call, sounding a fascinating and frightening warning about civilized society’s inability to recover from a global catastrophe.

An eye-opening and necessary read, X-Events is a shocking look at a world teetering on the brink of collapse, and a population under constant threat from pandemic viruses, worldwide communication breakdowns, nuclear winter, or any number of unforeseeable “X-Events.” Fascinating and chilling, X-Events provides a provocative tour of the catastrophic outlier scenarios that could quickly send us crashing back to the preindustrial age – and shows that they may not be as far-fetched as they seem. 

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X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything

X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything

by John L. Casti
X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything

X-Events: Complexity Overload and the Collapse of Everything

by John L. Casti

Paperback(Reprint)

$16.99 
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Overview

A necessary and thought-provoking read for the age of coronavirus, exploring eleven scenarios that may trigger the collapse of the modern world — from pandemics to nuclear apocalypse to robot uprisings — and what we can do to prevent and survive them. 

In the twenty first century, our world has become impossibly complicated, relying on ever more advanced technology that is developing at an exponential rate. Yet it is a fact of mathematical life that higher and higher levels of complexity lead to systems that are increasingly fragile and susceptible to sudden, spectacular collapse.

In this highly provocative and grippingly readable book, John Casti brilliantly argues that today’s advanced, overly complex societies have grown highly vulnerable to extreme events that will ultimately topple civilization like a house of cards. Like Nassim Taleb’s The Black Swan meets Jared Diamond’s Collapse, Casti’s book provides a much-needed wake-up call, sounding a fascinating and frightening warning about civilized society’s inability to recover from a global catastrophe.

An eye-opening and necessary read, X-Events is a shocking look at a world teetering on the brink of collapse, and a population under constant threat from pandemic viruses, worldwide communication breakdowns, nuclear winter, or any number of unforeseeable “X-Events.” Fascinating and chilling, X-Events provides a provocative tour of the catastrophic outlier scenarios that could quickly send us crashing back to the preindustrial age – and shows that they may not be as far-fetched as they seem. 


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780062088291
Publisher: HarperCollins
Publication date: 03/12/2013
Edition description: Reprint
Pages: 326
Sales rank: 1,070,046
Product dimensions: 5.30(w) x 7.90(h) x 1.00(d)

About the Author

American complexity scientist and systems theoristJohn Casti, is cofounder of The X-Center, a Viennabasedresearch institute focusing on human-causedextreme events and how to anticipate them. Casti haspublished nearly twenty volumes of academic and popularscience and received his Ph.D. in mathematics from theUniversity of Southern California. He lives in Vienna,Austria.

Table of Contents

Author's Note vii

Preamble: Putting the "X" into x-Events 1

Part I Why Normal Isn't So "Normal" Anymore 17

Part II Getting Down to Cases 59

X-Event 1 Digital Darkness 68

A Long-Term, Widespread Failure of the Internet

X-Event 2 When do we Eat? 92

Breakdown of the Global Food-Supply System

X-Event 3 The Day the Electronics died 109

A Continent-Wide Electromagnetic Pulse Destroys All Electronics

X-Event 4 A New world Disorder 122

The Collapse of Globalization

X-Event 5 Death by Physics 144

Destruction of the Earth Through the Creation of Exotic Particles

X-Event 6 Blown Away 161

Destabilization of the Nuclear Landscape

X-Event 7 Running on Empty 180

Drying Up of World Oil Supplies

X-Event 8 I'M Sick of It 195

A Global Pandemic

X-Event 9 Dark and Dry 212

Failure of the Electric Power Grid and Clean Water Supply

X-Event 10 Technology Run Amok 233

Intelligent Robots Overthrow Humanity

X-Event 11 The Great Unwinding 251

Global Deflation and the Collapse of World Financial Markets

Part III X-Events Redux 271

Notes and References 303

Index 318

What People are Saying About This

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

“I am assiduous reader of John Casti’s books. He is a real scientific intellectual.”

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